C.A.R. reports 4th quarter housing affordability

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For release:
February 12, 2015

California housing affordability inches up from third quarter, slips from year ago.

Nineteen regions see improvement, with Santa Barbara, Contra Costa, Napa, and Los Angeles counties leading the way

LOS ANGELES (Feb. 12) – California housing affordability improved from third-quarter 2014 but dipped when compared to a year ago, as lower interest rates failed to offset higher home prices, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.

The percentage of home buyers who could afford to purchase a median-priced, existing single-family home in California in fourth-quarter 2014 edged up to 31 percent from the 30 percent recorded in the third quarter of 2014 but was down from a revised 32 percent in fourth-quarter 2013, according to C.A.R.’s Traditional Housing Affordability Index (HAI). This is the seventh consecutive quarter that the index was below 40 percent and is near the mid-2008 level of 29 percent. California’s housing affordability index hit a peak of 56 percent in the first quarter of 2012.

C.A.R.’s HAI measures the percentage of all households that can afford to purchase a median-priced, single-family home in California. C.A.R. also reports affordability indices for regions and select counties within the state. The Index is considered the most fundamental measure of housing well-being for home buyers in the state.

Home buyers needed to earn a minimum annual income of $91,550 to qualify for the purchase of a $452,140 statewide median-priced, existing single-family home in the fourth quarter of 2014. The monthly payment, including taxes and insurance on a 30-year, fixed-rate loan, would be $2,290, assuming a 20 percent down payment and an effective composite interest rate of 4.2 percent. The effective composite interest rate in third-quarter 2014 was 4.23 percent and 4.43 percent in the fourth quarter of 2013.

The median home price was $467,280 in third-quarter 2014, and an annual income of $94,880 was needed to purchase a home at that price.

Key points from the fourth-quarter 2014 Housing Affordability report include:

• Compared to affordability in third-quarter 2014, 19 regions saw an improvement in housing affordability, three saw declines, and nine were unchanged.
• Only San Francisco, Madera, and Merced counties saw a drop in affordability due to price increases from the previous quarter.
• Santa Barbara, Contra Costa, Napa, and Los Angeles counties saw the greatest quarter-to-quarter improvement in housing affordability due to price declines.
• During the fourth quarter of 2014, the five most affordable counties in California were Kings (64 percent), San Bernardino (57 percent), Tulare (56 percent), Madera (56 percent), Merced (53 percent), and Fresno (53 percent). • San Francisco (14 percent), San Mateo (15 percent), Marin (15 percent), and Santa Cruz (17 percent) counties were the least affordable areas of the state.

Housing Affordability slides (click link to open)

Affordability peak versus current*
Annual income peak versus current*
PITI peak versus current
*


CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Traditional Housing Affordability Index


C.A.R. Region

Housing
Affordability Index

Median Home
Price

Monthly Payment Including Taxes & Insurance

Minimum
Qualifying Income

CA SFH
31
$ 452,140

$ 2,290

$ 91,550
CA Condo/Townhomes 39
$ 369,240

$ 1,870

$ 74,770
Los Angeles Metropolitan Area 34
$ 414,040

$ 2,100

$ 83,840
Inland Empire 47
$ 277,730

$ 1,410

$ 56,240
S.F. Bay Area 21
$ 742,880

$ 3,760

$ 150,420
US 59
$ 208,700

$ 1,060

$ 42,260






S.F. Bay Area




Alameda 20
$ 703,370

$ 3,560

$ 142,420
Contra-Costa (Central County) 23
$ 698,300

$ 3,530

$ 141,400
Marin 15
$ 1,009,610

$ 5,110

$ 204,430
Napa 24
$ 581,040

$ 2,940

$ 117,650
San Francisco 14
$ 962,390

$ 4,870

$ 194,870
San Mateo 15
$ 1,050,000

$ 5,320

$ 212,610
Santa Clara 22
$ 855,000

$ 4,330

$ 173,130
Solano 50
$ 327,590

$ 1,660

$ 66,330
Sonoma 29
$ 494,440

$ 2,500

$ 100,120

Southern California




Los Angeles 28
$ 450,880

$ 2,280

$ 91,300
Orange County 21
$ 688,450

$ 3,490

$ 139,400
Riverside County 41
$ 321,610

$ 1,630

$ 65,120
San Bernardino 57
$ 212,310

$ 1,070

$ 42,990
San Diego 27
$ 493,110

$ 2,500

$ 99,850
Ventura 29
$ 569,190

$ 2,880

$ 115,250

Central Coast




Monterey 27
$ 451,550

$ 2,290

$ 91,430
San Luis Obispo 26
$ 468,000

$ 2,370

$ 94,760
Santa Barbara 21
$ 626,370

$ 3,170

$ 126,830
Santa Cruz 17
$ 700,050

$ 3,540

$ 141,750

Central Valley




Fresno 53
$ 201,840

$ 1,020

$ 40,870
Kings County 64
$ 181,050

$ 920

$ 36,660
Madera 56
$ 191,250

$ 970

$ 38,730
Merced 53
$ 182,960

$ 930

$ 37,050
Placer County 45
$ 380,040

$ 1,920

$ 76,950
Sacramento 49
$ 268,660

$ 1,360

$ 54,400
Tulare 56
$ 180,950

$ 920

$ 36,640


CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Traditional Housing Affordability Index


STATE/REGION/COUNTY

Q4 2014

Q3 2014


Q4 2013


CA SFH
31 30 32
CA Condo/Townhomes 39 39 41
Los Angeles Metropolitan Area 34 32 34
Inland Empire 47 47 49
S.F. Bay Area 21 21 23
US 59 57 58







S.F. Bay Area





Alameda 20 19 23
Contra-Costa (Central County) 23 19 24 r
Marin 15 15 19 r
Napa 24 21 29
San Francisco 14 15 16
San Mateo 15 15 16
Santa Clara 22 21 23
Solano 50 49 56
Sonoma 29 29 30 r

Southern California





Los Angeles 28 25 r 30
Orange County 21 20 20
Riverside County 41 41 43
San Bernardino 57 57 62
San Diego 27 25 28
Ventura 29 27 31

Central Coast





Monterey 27 27 29
San Luis Obispo 26 24 24
Santa Barbara 21 14 18
Santa Cruz 17 17 17

Central Valley





Fresno 53 53 55
Kings County 64 64 63 r
Madera 56 58 67
Merced 53 55 60
Placer County 45 44 47 r
Sacramento 49 48 51
Tulare 56 56 60

Leading the way?® in California real estate for more than 100 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with more than 175,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.

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